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Fri, 17 July 2020

Equities

Amazon earnings – what to expect from Q2?

Amazon (AMZN) is due to report earnings July 30th and is set for another strong quarter of revenue growth, albeit costs are also increasing. The stock has jumped more than 60% YTD – can the rally continue?

Written By:
Neil Wilson

Fri, 17 July 2020

Morning Note

Dutch PM Rutte ‘not optimistic’ ahead of EU summit, Netflix misses

European stocks were choppy and likely set for a volatile finish to the week as EU leaders gather in Brussels for a key summit, with market participants squarely focused on whether the EU can agree to a broad recovery fund as part of the talks over the bloc’s budget for 2021-27.

Written By:
Neil Wilson

Thu, 16 July 2020

Equities

US jobless claims cast shadow

US jobless claims cast a shadow: stocks remained under the cosh a bit as US initial jobless claims were worse than expected and show a levelling off in the week-on-week improvements we have seen over the last couple of months. The mild risk-off tone to the start of the US session is keeping stocks in the red after a softer European session, although we note a White House presser later on the session so this needs to be watched. The S&P 500 seems well controlled by the 3200 round number support and the resistance just below 3240 for now. Breaks either side of these may be chased.

Written By:
Neil Wilson

Thu, 16 July 2020

Morning Note

Stocks retreat before ECB, US + UK jobless numbers in focus

European stocks pulled back a little after a rally in the previous session as upward pressure on equities continues to hold firm despite rising case numbers as hopes for a vaccine are the new hopes for a US-China trade deal. Moderna has reported encouraging results from initial trials, while there is a lot of hope being pinned on AstraZeneca’s phase one trials, results of which are due to be published July 20th. Whilst nothing is certain, it seems things are moving in the right direction for a vaccine to emerge by next year.

Written By:
Neil Wilson

Wed, 15 July 2020

Equities
+1
Forex

Blonde Money ECB and EU Summit Preview

What can we expect from this week’s European Central Bank monetary policy decision? Blonde Money CEO and found Helen Thomas takes a look at what could be in store for markets on the back of the latest announcements, and why the ECB will be watching the upcoming EU Summit as intently as the markets will.

Written By:
Rewan Tremethick

Wed, 15 July 2020

US Presidential Election

US Election2020 fast update: Biden ramps clean energy plans

Clean energy stocks were among yesterday’s best gainers as Joe Biden, presumptive US Democrat president, outlined a $2tn green energy and infrastructure spending plan. Traditional oil companies also rebounded, with Chevron and Exxon up over 3% and Schlumberger, EOG Resources and Halliburton both adding over 5% as Biden appeared to steer clear of any fracking bans.

Written By:
Neil Wilson

Wed, 15 July 2020

Morning Note

Stocks firm, earnings unmask weakness, OPEC+ decision eyed

European markets moved up again this morning after stocks rallied on Wall Street and futures indicate further gains for US equity markets despite big bank earnings underlining the problems on Main Street. Sentiment recovered somewhat after Moderna’s vaccine candidate showed ‘promising’ results from phase 1 trials. It is too early to call a significant breakthrough, but it’s certainly encouraging.

Written By:
Neil Wilson

Tue, 14 July 2020

Commodities

US oil inventories preview: Crude rebounds after hitting lowest levels since July 1st

Crude oil touched the lowest levels since the start of the month today as investors fretted over the pace of reopening in the world’s major economies. WTI fell to $39.27, but has since rebounded to trade $0.54, or 1.3%, higher at $40.29.

Written By:
Rewan Tremethick

Tue, 14 July 2020

Equities

JPM shares rise on record trading revenues

Extrapolating too much from a single bank’s earnings is always an easy trap to fall into … but the quarterly numbers from JPMorgan indicate Main Street is not doing nearly as well as Wall Street – this is not a surprise, but it begs the question of when the credit losses from bad corporate and personal debt starts to catch up with the broader market. Moreover, investors need to ask whether the exceptional trading revenues are all that sustainable.

Written By:
Neil Wilson

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